Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Dominican Republic or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Dominican Republic to win @ 1.62 – our chance 67% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDominican Republic to win ✓67% · @1.62
Double chanceDominican Republic or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 13.43
Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic preview and prediction
The match
The CONCACAF Nations League sees Nicaragua take on Dominican Republic on Monday 5 October, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Nicaragua National Football Stadium.
Form guide
Nicaragua's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Costa Rica 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Dominican Republic's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Haiti 1–4 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Dominican Republic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 September 2026, finished Dominican Republic 3–2 Nicaragua.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.7 goals: 1.5 for Nicaragua and 3.2 for Dominican Republic. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 84% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Dominican Republic or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Dominican Republic to win at 1.62 – 67% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dominican Republic or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nicaragua 1–3 Dominican Republic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nicaragua12%fair 8.11 · @4.33
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.00
Dominican Republic67%fair 1.49 · @1.62
4.67Expected goals
1.51Nicaragua xG
3.16Dominican Republic xG
66%Both score
84%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–37%
1–27%
1–46%
2–36%
2–25%
0–35%
From our goals model: Nicaragua 1.5 – 3.2 Dominican Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic?
Our pick is Dominican Republic or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic?
On our numbers Nicaragua have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dominican Republic 67%.
How many goals will there be in Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic?
Our predicted score is Nicaragua 1–3 Dominican Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic?
Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Nicaragua National Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Aruba3
Anguilla2
Costa Rica2
Haiti0
Guadeloupe0
St. Lucia1
Cuba2
St. Kitts and Nevis2
Martinique1
El Salvador1