Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent Grenadines prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
St. Vincent Grenadines or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: St. Vincent Grenadines to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt. Vincent Grenadines to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceSt. Vincent Grenadines or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗26% · fair 3.92
Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent Grenadines preview and prediction
The match
St. Vincent Grenadines travel to FFB Stadium in the CONCACAF Nations League on Saturday 3 October (22:00 WAT) to face Sint Maarten.
Form guide
Sint Maarten's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to French Guyana 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
St. Vincent Grenadines's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Belize 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
St. Vincent Grenadines arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.4 for Sint Maarten and 1.1 for St. Vincent Grenadines. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sint Maarten 17%, draw 21%, St. Vincent Grenadines 62%.
Safer route: St. Vincent Grenadines or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.91.
Value angle: St. Vincent Grenadines to win at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was St. Vincent Grenadines or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sint Maarten 0–1 St. Vincent Grenadines. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sint Maarten17%fair 5.77 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.40
St. Vincent Grenadines62%fair 1.61 · @1.80
1.50Expected goals
0.36Sint Maarten xG
1.14St. Vincent Grenadines xG
47%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–126%
0–022%
0–215%
1–19%
1–08%
0–36%
From our goals model: Sint Maarten 0.4 – 1.1 St. Vincent Grenadines expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Vincent Grenadines to win✓
62%
1.61
1.80 ▲
Double chance
St. Vincent Grenadines or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Vincent Grenadines / FT St. Vincent Grenadines✓
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
26%
3.92
–
Form
Sint Maarten – last 3
LLD
29 Sep
@ French Guyana
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Belize
0–1
L
31 Mar
@ Dominica
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
St. Vincent Grenadines – last 4
WWWL
30 Sep
@ Belize
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs French Guyana
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Barbados
3–2
W
27 Mar
@ Bonaire
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sint Maarten and St. Vincent Grenadines.
What is the prediction for Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent Grenadines?
Our pick is St. Vincent Grenadines or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent Grenadines?
On our numbers Sint Maarten have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St. Vincent Grenadines 62%.
How many goals will there be in Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent Grenadines?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent Grenadines?
Our predicted score is Sint Maarten 0–1 St. Vincent Grenadines, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent Grenadines?
Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent Grenadines (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at FFB Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barbados4
Bermuda1
Bonaire2
Grenada3
Martinique2
Honduras1
El Salvador0
Jamaica2