Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHonduras to win ✗63% · @1.67
Double chanceHonduras or draw ✗86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Martinique vs Honduras preview and prediction
The match
The CONCACAF Nations League sees Martinique take on Honduras on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Stade Pierre-Aliker.
Form guide
Martinique's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Suriname 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Honduras's last 4: WLLD Most recently they beat Jamaica 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Honduras arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Martinique and 2.2 for Honduras. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Honduras to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Martinique 1–2 Honduras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Martinique14%fair 7.14 · @4.80
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.40
Honduras63%fair 1.59 · @1.67
3.25Expected goals
1.02Martinique xG
2.23Honduras xG
56%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Martinique 1.0 – 2.2 Honduras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Honduras to win✗
63%
1.59
1.67
Double chance
Honduras or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Honduras ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Honduras / FT Honduras✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.17
–
Form
Martinique – last 4
LLLD
28 Sep
@ Suriname
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ El Salvador
1–3
L
29 Mar
vs El Salvador
0–1
L
26 Mar
vs Cuba
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Honduras – last 4
WLLD
29 Sep
@ Jamaica
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Suriname
2–3
L
7 Jun
@ Argentina
0–2
L
31 Mar
@ Peru
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Martinique and Honduras.
What is the prediction for Martinique vs Honduras?
Our pick is Honduras to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Martinique vs Honduras?
On our numbers Martinique have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Honduras 63%.
How many goals will there be in Martinique vs Honduras?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Martinique vs Honduras?
Our predicted score is Martinique 1–2 Honduras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Martinique vs Honduras?
Martinique vs Honduras (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pierre-Aliker.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barbados4
Bermuda1
Bonaire2
Grenada3
El Salvador0
Jamaica2
Sint Maarten2
St. Vincent Grenadines4