Value bet: Barbados to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarbados to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Barbados vs Bermuda preview and prediction
The match
Bermuda travel to BFA Technical Centre in the CONCACAF Nations League on Saturday 3 October (01:00 WAT) to face Barbados.
Form guide
Barbados's last 4: DWLL Most recently they drew with Guadeloupe 2–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Bermuda's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to St. Lucia 2–5 away. They average 1.0 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Barbados arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.5 for Barbados and 1.5 for Bermuda. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barbados 60%, draw 17%, Bermuda 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.36.
Value angle: Barbados to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Barbados 2–1 Bermuda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barbados60%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw17%fair 5.82 · @3.80
Bermuda23%fair 4.31 · @3.40
4.00Expected goals
2.49Barbados xG
1.51Bermuda xG
71%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Barbados 2.5 – 1.5 Bermuda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barbados to win✓
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Barbados ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barbados / FT Barbados✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Form
Barbados – last 4
DWLL
28 Sep
@ Guadeloupe
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs St. Lucia
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs St. Vincent Grenadines
2–3
L
26 Mar
@ Saint Martin
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Bermuda – last 3
LLL
29 Sep
@ St. Lucia
2–5
L
25 Sep
vs Guadeloupe
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ Cape Verde Islands
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barbados and Bermuda.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Barbados vs Bermuda?
On our numbers Barbados have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Bermuda 23%.
How many goals will there be in Barbados vs Bermuda?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barbados vs Bermuda?
Our predicted score is Barbados 2–1 Bermuda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Barbados vs Bermuda?
Barbados vs Bermuda (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at BFA Technical Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bonaire2
Grenada3
Martinique2
Honduras1
El Salvador0
Jamaica2
Sint Maarten2
St. Vincent Grenadines4