Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Grenada to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrenada to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceGrenada or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.36
Bonaire vs Grenada preview and prediction
The match
Bonaire host Grenada in the CONCACAF Nations League on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Hasely Crawford Stadium.
Form guide
Bonaire's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Cuba 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Grenada's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to St. Kitts and Nevis 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Bonaire arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Bonaire and 1.9 for Grenada. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bonaire 18%, draw 21%, Grenada 61%.
Safer route: Grenada or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Grenada to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Grenada or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Bonaire 0–1 Grenada. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bonaire18%fair 5.56 · @4.33
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.50
Grenada61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
2.75Expected goals
0.88Bonaire xG
1.87Grenada xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Bonaire 0.9 – 1.9 Grenada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grenada to win✓
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Grenada or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Grenada ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grenada / FT Grenada✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.36
–
Form
Bonaire – last 4
LLLW
28 Sep
@ Cuba
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs St. Kitts and Nevis
1–2
L
30 Mar
vs Saint Martin
0–3
L
27 Mar
vs St. Vincent Grenadines
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Grenada – last 4
LLLL
29 Sep
@ St. Kitts and Nevis
0–3
L
25 Sep
vs Cuba
0–3
L
30 Mar
vs Kenya
0–3
L
27 Mar
@ Rwanda
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bonaire and Grenada.
Our pick is Grenada or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bonaire vs Grenada?
On our numbers Bonaire have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Grenada 61%.
How many goals will there be in Bonaire vs Grenada?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bonaire vs Grenada?
Our predicted score is Bonaire 0–1 Grenada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bonaire vs Grenada?
Bonaire vs Grenada (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Hasely Crawford Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barbados4
Bermuda1
Martinique2
Honduras1
El Salvador0
Jamaica2
Sint Maarten2
St. Vincent Grenadines4