FA Trophy · England
Quorn vs Leamington prediction & analysis
Quorn or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Value bet: Draw @ 3.60 – our chance 55% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +98%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Quorn 1.6 – 1.5 Leamington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Quorn and Leamington on our numbers – 24% for the home side, 21% for the visitors and 55% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Quorn have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.5 per game. Leamington have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.6 for Quorn, 1.5 for Leamington). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Quorn or draw at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is better than our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Draw at 3.60 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Draw ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 3.60 ▲ |
| Double chance | Quorn or draw ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.44 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Quorn / FT Quorn ✓ | 23% | 4.31 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.11 | – |
Form
Quorn – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Kettering Town | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Guiseley AFC | 1–4 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Shepshed Dynamo | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Ilkeston Town | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Whitby Town | 3–6 | L |
| 25 Aug | vs Gainsborough Trinity | 2–2 | D |
Leamington – last 6
| 22 Sep | @ Gainsborough Trinity | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Gainsborough Trinity | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Bishop's Stortford | 1–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Ilkeston Town | 3–1 | W |
| 1 Sep | @ Stourbridge | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Worcester City | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quorn and Leamington.
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What is the prediction for Quorn vs Leamington?
Our pick is Quorn or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Quorn vs Leamington?
On our numbers Quorn have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 55% and Leamington 21%.
How many goals will there be in Quorn vs Leamington?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Quorn vs Leamington?
Quorn vs Leamington (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.