Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultThame United to win ✗65% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.34
Thame United vs Exmouth preview and prediction
The match
Exmouth travel to face Thame United in the FA Cup on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Thame United's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Portland United 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Exmouth's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Banbury United 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Thame United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Thame United and 0.9 for Exmouth. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 49% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Thame United 65%, draw 14%, Exmouth 21%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Thame United to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Thame United 1–0 Exmouth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thame United65%fair 1.55 · @1.70
Draw14%fair 7.10 · @4.00
Exmouth21%fair 4.71 · @3.60
2.91Expected goals
1.96Thame United xG
0.95Exmouth xG
49%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Thame United 2.0 – 0.9 Exmouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Thame United to win✗
65%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Thame United ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Thame United / FT Thame United✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.34
–
Form
Thame United – last 4
WWWW
12 Sep
@ Portland United
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Reading City
3–2
W
29 Aug
@ Westbury United
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Northwood
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Exmouth – last 3
DLL
5 Sep
@ Banbury United
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Hartpury University
1–4
L
3 Apr
vs Bishop's Cleeve
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thame United and Exmouth.
What is the prediction for Thame United vs Exmouth?
Our pick is Thame United to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Thame United vs Exmouth?
On our numbers Thame United have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Exmouth 21%.
How many goals will there be in Thame United vs Exmouth?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thame United vs Exmouth?
Our predicted score is Thame United 1–0 Exmouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Thame United vs Exmouth?
Thame United vs Exmouth (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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