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Today's tips
FA Cup · England

Buxton

WWLWW
1–0
FT

Ashton United

LWLLD

Buxton vs Ashton United prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.57Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBuxton to win ✓70% · @1.36
Double chanceBuxton or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.62
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 14.09

Buxton vs Ashton United preview and prediction

The match

The FA Cup sees Buxton take on Ashton United on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Buxton's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Chester 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.

Ashton United's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Cleethorpes Town 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Buxton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 10 July 2026, finished Buxton 1–0 Ashton United.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 5.1 goals: 3.5 for Buxton and 1.5 for Ashton United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.35, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Buxton 3–1 Ashton United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Buxton70%fair 1.42 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.50
Ashton United9%fair 10.92 · @6.25
5.05Expected goals
3.50Buxton xG
1.55Ashton United xG
62%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

3–17%
4–16%
2–16%
3–25%
4–25%
2–25%

From our goals model: Buxton 3.5 – 1.5 Ashton United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBuxton to win ✓70%1.421.36
Double chanceBuxton or draw ✓91%1.10–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗96%1.04–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74%1.351.57 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Half-time resultBuxton ahead at half-time ✗58%1.73–
Half-time / full-timeHT Buxton / FT Buxton ✗52%1.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7%14.09–

Form

Buxton – last 6

WWLWWL
12 Sepvs Chester3–1W
8 Sepvs Brackley Town5–0W
5 Sep@ Morecambe0–4L
31 Augvs Merthyr Town2–1W
28 Aug@ Oxford City3–2W
22 Augvs Hebburn Town1–2L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Ashton United – last 6

LWLLDD
12 Sepvs Cleethorpes Town0–1L
5 Sep@ Whitby Town5–2W
31 Aug@ Curzon Ashton0–2L
28 Augvs Gainsborough Trinity1–2L
25 Augvs Ilkeston Town1–1D
22 Aug@ AFC Emley1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Jul 2026Buxton v Ashton United1–0

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Bedford Town2 King's Lynn Town1 145%2.15X21%3.30234%2.90 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.73 ✓
FT Brackley Town1 AFC Portchester0 165%1.28X17%4.75218%8.00 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.40 ✗
FT Bury5 Workington1 164%1.73X20%3.70216%3.80 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.62 ✓
FT United of Manchester4 Ossett United1 172%1.28X19%4.7529%8.00 1United of Manchester to win 72%@1.28 ✓
FT Gorleston3 Bury Town4 112%5.00X23%4.00265%1.50 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.50 ✓
FT Leamington1 Gainsborough Trinity1 140%2.50X23%3.30237%2.45 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.67 ✗
FT Merthyr Town1 Truro City1 138%2.55X23%3.25239%2.40 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 50%@1.90 ✓
FT Redcar Athletic1 Macclesfield2 121%3.90X14%3.90264%1.67 2Macclesfield to win 64%@1.67 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Buxton vs Ashton United?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Buxton vs Ashton United?

On our numbers Buxton have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ashton United 9%.

How many goals will there be in Buxton vs Ashton United?

We expect about 5.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Buxton vs Ashton United?

Our predicted score is Buxton 3–1 Ashton United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.1 goals in total.

When is Buxton vs Ashton United?

Buxton vs Ashton United (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.