Double chanceSpennymoor Town or draw ✓81% · fair 1.23
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.75
AFC Emley vs Spennymoor Town preview and prediction
The match
Spennymoor Town travel to face AFC Emley in the FA Cup on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
AFC Emley's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Bury 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Spennymoor Town's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Macclesfield 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
AFC Emley arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for AFC Emley and 1.3 for Spennymoor Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 48%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Emley 19%, draw 53%, Spennymoor Town 28%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Draw – a 53% chance at odds of 3.50, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AFC Emley 1–1 Spennymoor Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Emley19%fair 5.33 · @3.00
Draw53%fair 1.88 · @3.50
Spennymoor Town28%fair 3.55 · @2.00
2.43Expected goals
1.12AFC Emley xG
1.31Spennymoor Town xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: AFC Emley 1.1 – 1.3 Spennymoor Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
53%
1.88
3.50 ▲
Double chance
Spennymoor Town or draw✓
81%
1.23
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
2.08 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spennymoor Town / FT Spennymoor Town✓
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.75
–
Form
AFC Emley – last 6
LLDDDW
12 Sep
@ Bury
0–4
L
31 Aug
vs Guiseley AFC
0–4
L
29 Aug
@ Warrington Town
2–2
D
25 Aug
@ Redcar Athletic
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Ashton United
1–1
D
18 Aug
@ Leek Town
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Spennymoor Town – last 6
DLLDLL
12 Sep
vs Macclesfield
1–1
D
8 Sep
vs Spalding United
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Hereford
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Hednesford Town
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Bedford Town
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Oxford City
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Emley and Spennymoor Town.
What is the prediction for AFC Emley vs Spennymoor Town?
Our pick is Draw with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 3.50.
Who will win AFC Emley vs Spennymoor Town?
On our numbers AFC Emley have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Spennymoor Town 28%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Emley vs Spennymoor Town?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Emley vs Spennymoor Town?
Our predicted score is AFC Emley 1–1 Spennymoor Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is AFC Emley vs Spennymoor Town?
AFC Emley vs Spennymoor Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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