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Today's tips
FA Cup · England

Hemel Hempstead Town

DDDLL
1–1
FT

Wingate & Finchley

WLDLW

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate & Finchley prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Hemel Hempstead Town to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.40Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.35 – our chance 53% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultHemel Hempstead Town to win ✗62% · @1.40
Double chanceHemel Hempstead Town or draw ✓85% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.18

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate & Finchley preview and prediction

The match

Wingate & Finchley travel to face Hemel Hempstead Town in the FA Cup on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT).

Form guide

Hemel Hempstead Town's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Tonbridge Angels 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Wingate & Finchley's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Aveley 4–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Wingate & Finchley arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Hemel Hempstead Town and 0.5 for Wingate & Finchley. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 53% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Hemel Hempstead Town to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Hemel Hempstead Town 1–0 Wingate & Finchley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Hemel Hempstead Town62%fair 1.61 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.50
Wingate & Finchley15%fair 6.73 · @5.50
2.05Expected goals
1.50Hemel Hempstead Town xG
0.55Wingate & Finchley xG
39%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%

From our goals model: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.5 – 0.5 Wingate & Finchley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHemel Hempstead Town to win ✗62%1.611.40
Double chanceHemel Hempstead Town or draw ✓85%1.17–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.882.35 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hemel Hempstead Town / FT Hemel Hempstead Town ✗37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.18–

Form

Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6

DDDLLW
12 Sepvs Tonbridge Angels1–1D
8 Sep@ Ebbsfleet United0–0D
5 Sepvs Farnham Town1–1D
31 Aug@ Folkestone Invicta0–2L
29 Augvs Weston-super-Mare1–3L
22 Aug@ Salisbury2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Wingate & Finchley – last 6

WLDLWW
14 Sep@ Aveley4–3W
12 Sep@ Welling United1–4L
5 Sepvs Felixstowe & Walton Utd0–0D
31 Augvs Enfield Town1–4L
29 Aug@ Chatham Town3–2W
22 Augvs Dulwich Hamlet1–0W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hemel Hempstead Town and Wingate & Finchley.

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate & Finchley head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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FT Bedford Town2 King's Lynn Town1 145%2.15X21%3.30234%2.90 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.73 ✓
FT Brackley Town1 AFC Portchester0 165%1.28X17%4.75218%8.00 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.40 ✗
FT Bury5 Workington1 164%1.73X20%3.70216%3.80 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.62 ✓
FT Buxton1 Ashton United0 170%1.36X21%4.5029%6.25 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.57 ✗
FT United of Manchester4 Ossett United1 172%1.28X19%4.7529%8.00 1United of Manchester to win 72%@1.28 ✓
FT Gorleston3 Bury Town4 112%5.00X23%4.00265%1.50 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.50 ✓
FT Leamington1 Gainsborough Trinity1 140%2.50X23%3.30237%2.45 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.67 ✗
FT Merthyr Town1 Truro City1 138%2.55X23%3.25239%2.40 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 50%@1.90 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

Our pick is Hemel Hempstead Town to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

On our numbers Hemel Hempstead Town have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Wingate & Finchley 15%.

How many goals will there be in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

Our predicted score is Hemel Hempstead Town 1–0 Wingate & Finchley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate & Finchley (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.