Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · fair 1.52
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗5% · fair 19.92
Lower Breck vs Chester preview and prediction
The match
Chester travel to face Lower Breck in the FA Cup on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Lower Breck's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Stalybridge Celtic 2–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.8 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chester's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Buxton 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Lower Breck arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 6.0 goals: 3.0 for Lower Breck and 3.0 for Chester. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 98% chance. Predicted score: Lower Breck 2–3 Chester. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lower Breck4%fair 25.00
Draw91%fair 1.10
Chester5%fair 20.00
6.00Expected goals
2.98Lower Breck xG
3.02Chester xG
66%Both score
94%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–35%
2–25%
3–35%
3–25%
2–44%
3–44%
From our goals model: Lower Breck 3.0 – 3.0 Chester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
91%
1.10
–
Double chance
Chester or draw✓
96%
1.04
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Chester ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chester / FT Chester✓
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✗
5%
19.92
–
Form
Lower Breck – last 4
LWWW
12 Sep
@ Stalybridge Celtic
2–3
L
5 Sep
vs Thornaby
5–1
W
29 Aug
vs North Ferriby
4–0
W
6 Apr
vs Vauxhall Motors
4–0
W
3.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Chester – last 6
LLDLDW
12 Sep
@ Buxton
1–3
L
8 Sep
vs Merthyr Town
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Hebburn Town
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Morecambe
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Hereford
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Spalding United
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lower Breck and Chester.
What is the prediction for Lower Breck vs Chester?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 98% chance.
Who will win Lower Breck vs Chester?
On our numbers Lower Breck have a 4% chance of winning, the draw 91% and Chester 5%.
How many goals will there be in Lower Breck vs Chester?
We expect about 6.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lower Breck vs Chester?
Our predicted score is Lower Breck 2–3 Chester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.0 goals in total.
When is Lower Breck vs Chester?
Lower Breck vs Chester (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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