Dorchester Town vs Oxford City prediction & analysis
96%
Footrivo pick
Oxford City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.04 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗91% · fair 1.10
Double chanceOxford City or draw ✓96% · fair 1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · fair 1.55
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗7% · fair 15.20
Dorchester Town vs Oxford City preview and prediction
The match
Oxford City travel to face Dorchester Town in the FA Cup on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Dorchester Town's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Brixham 3–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Oxford City's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Radcliffe 3–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Oxford City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 2.5 for Dorchester Town and 2.5 for Oxford City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dorchester Town 4%, draw 91%, Oxford City 5%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Oxford City or draw – a 96% chance. Predicted score: Dorchester Town 2–2 Oxford City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dorchester Town4%fair 25.00
Draw91%fair 1.10
Oxford City5%fair 20.00
5.00Expected goals
2.49Dorchester Town xG
2.51Oxford City xG
65%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–36%
3–25%
1–25%
2–15%
3–35%
From our goals model: Dorchester Town 2.5 – 2.5 Oxford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
91%
1.10
–
Double chance
Oxford City or draw✓
96%
1.04
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Oxford City ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oxford City / FT Oxford City✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✗
7%
15.20
–
Form
Dorchester Town – last 6
WLDLLL
5 Sep
@ Brixham
3–2
W
29 Aug
@ Larkhall Athletic
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Weymouth
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Berkhamsted
2–3
L
17 Mar
@ Farnham Town
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Chertsey Town
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Oxford City – last 6
WLWWLW
12 Sep
@ Radcliffe
3–0
W
8 Sep
@ AFC Telford United
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Chorley
4–0
W
31 Aug
@ Worksop Town
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Buxton
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Spennymoor Town
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dorchester Town and Oxford City.
What is the prediction for Dorchester Town vs Oxford City?
Our pick is Oxford City or draw with a 96% chance.
Who will win Dorchester Town vs Oxford City?
On our numbers Dorchester Town have a 4% chance of winning, the draw 91% and Oxford City 5%.
How many goals will there be in Dorchester Town vs Oxford City?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dorchester Town vs Oxford City?
Our predicted score is Dorchester Town 2–2 Oxford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Dorchester Town vs Oxford City?
Dorchester Town vs Oxford City (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.