Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leek Town prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeek Town to win ✗54% · fair 1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leek Town preview and prediction
The match
Bromsgrove Sporting host Leek Town in the FA Cup on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Bromsgrove Sporting's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Bury Town 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leek Town's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Redcar Athletic 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Bromsgrove Sporting arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.5 for Bromsgrove Sporting and 2.0 for Leek Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bromsgrove Sporting 35%, draw 11%, Leek Town 54%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 86% chance. Predicted score: Bromsgrove Sporting 1–1 Leek Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bromsgrove Sporting35%fair 2.86
Draw11%fair 9.09
Leek Town54%fair 1.85
3.50Expected goals
1.52Bromsgrove Sporting xG
1.98Leek Town xG
58%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Bromsgrove Sporting 1.5 – 2.0 Leek Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leek Town to win✗
54%
1.85
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Leek Town ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leek Town / FT Leek Town✗
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.10
–
Form
Bromsgrove Sporting – last 6
WWWWWL
12 Sep
vs Bury Town
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Nuneaton Town
2–0
W
31 Aug
@ Worcester City
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Bishop's Stortford
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Redditch United
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Anstey Nomads
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Leek Town – last 6
LWLLDW
12 Sep
@ Redcar Athletic
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Sporting Khalsa
5–0
W
1 Sep
vs Warrington Town
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Workington
2–3
L
26 Aug
@ Avro
4–4
D
22 Aug
vs Bamber Bridge
4–1
W
3.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bromsgrove Sporting and Leek Town.
What is the prediction for Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leek Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 86% chance.
Who will win Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leek Town?
On our numbers Bromsgrove Sporting have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Leek Town 54%.
How many goals will there be in Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leek Town?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leek Town?
Our predicted score is Bromsgrove Sporting 1–1 Leek Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leek Town?
Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leek Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.