FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
FC Midtjylland to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Midtjylland to win ✗65% · @1.65
Double chanceFC Midtjylland or draw ✗83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.32
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees FC Midtjylland take on St. Truiden on Thursday 22 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at MCH Arena. FC Midtjylland are 34th with 1 points from 3 games (in the bottom three), while St. Truiden sit 10th on 7 points (in the top half).
Form guide
FC Midtjylland's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Viborg 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
St. Truiden's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Lommel United 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
FC Midtjylland arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for FC Midtjylland and 0.9 for St. Truiden. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Midtjylland 65%, draw 18%, St. Truiden 17%.
Safer route: FC Midtjylland or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Midtjylland to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Midtjylland 2–0 St. Truiden. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Midtjylland65%fair 1.54 · @1.65
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @3.90
St. Truiden17%fair 5.97 · @4.75
3.00Expected goals
2.08FC Midtjylland xG
0.92St. Truiden xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: FC Midtjylland 2.1 – 0.9 St. Truiden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Midtjylland to win✗
65%
1.54
1.65 ▲
Double chance
FC Midtjylland or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
FC Midtjylland ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Midtjylland / FT FC Midtjylland✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.32
–
Form
FC Midtjylland – last 6
WDWDWW
19 Oct
@ Viborg
2–1
W
15 Oct
@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs FC Copenhagen
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Odense
1–1
D
14 Sep
vs Brondby
4–1
W
10 Sep
@ Sundby
7–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
St. Truiden – last 6
WWLLLW
18 Oct
vs Lommel United
4–1
W
15 Oct
vs FC Iberia 1999
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ KV Mechelen
3–4
L
20 Sep
vs KVC Westerlo
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ SK Beveren
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs RAAL La Louvière
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Midtjylland and St. Truiden.
What is the prediction for FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
Our pick is FC Midtjylland to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
On our numbers FC Midtjylland have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and St. Truiden 17%.
How many goals will there be in FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
Our predicted score is FC Midtjylland 2–0 St. Truiden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at MCH Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
