Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Panathinaikos to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPanathinaikos to win ✓67% · @1.67
Double chancePanathinaikos or draw ✓89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.43
Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos preview and prediction
The match
Kairat Almaty host Panathinaikos in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Central Stadium. Kairat Almaty are 27th with 2 points from 3 games (in the bottom half), while Panathinaikos sit 2nd on 9 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Kairat Almaty's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Irtysh 5–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Panathinaikos's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Asteras Tripolis 5–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Panathinaikos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for Kairat Almaty and 2.2 for Panathinaikos. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Panathinaikos to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kairat Almaty 0–2 Panathinaikos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kairat Almaty11%fair 9.04 · @4.80
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.70
Panathinaikos67%fair 1.49 · @1.67
3.00Expected goals
0.82Kairat Almaty xG
2.18Panathinaikos xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Kairat Almaty 0.8 – 2.2 Panathinaikos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Panathinaikos to win✓
67%
1.49
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Panathinaikos or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Panathinaikos ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Panathinaikos / FT Panathinaikos✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.43
–
Form
Kairat Almaty – last 6
WDWLLW
18 Oct
vs Irtysh
5–0
W
15 Oct
@ Riga
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Zhetysu
1–0
W
17 Sep
@ FC Astana
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–4
L
9 Sep
vs Zhenys
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Panathinaikos – last 6
WWLWWW
18 Oct
vs Asteras Tripolis
5–1
W
15 Oct
vs Borac Banja Luka
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Kalamata
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Kifisia
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Panetolikos
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos.
What is the prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?
Our pick is Panathinaikos to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?
On our numbers Kairat Almaty have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Panathinaikos 67%.
How many goals will there be in Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?
Our predicted score is Kairat Almaty 0–2 Panathinaikos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?
Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
