Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGetafe to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceGetafe or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Getafe vs FC Lugano preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees Getafe take on FC Lugano on Thursday 22 October, kicking off at 17:45 (WAT) at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez. Getafe are 31st with 1 points from 3 games (in the bottom half), while FC Lugano sit 1st on 9 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Getafe's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Rayo Vallecano 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
FC Lugano's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Pully Football 4–0 away. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Lugano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Getafe and 1.1 for FC Lugano. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Getafe 57%, draw 26%, FC Lugano 17%.
Safer route: Getafe or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Getafe or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Getafe 2–1 FC Lugano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Getafe57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.30
FC Lugano17%fair 5.87 · @4.20
3.20Expected goals
2.08Getafe xG
1.12FC Lugano xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Getafe 2.1 – 1.1 FC Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Getafe to win✗
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Getafe or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Getafe ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Getafe / FT Getafe✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Form
Getafe – last 6
DDLWLD
19 Oct
vs Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
15 Oct
@ Universitatea Craiova
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Barcelona
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Malaga
1–0
W
17 Sep
@ Real Betis
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Deportivo La Coruna
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
FC Lugano – last 6
WWWLWW
18 Oct
@ Pully Football
4–0
W
15 Oct
vs FK Crvena Zvezda
3–2
W
10 Oct
vs FC Luzern
4–0
W
2 Oct
vs Hellas Verona
1–3
L
20 Sep
@ Lausanne
4–0
W
16 Sep
vs FC ST. Gallen
4–1
W
3.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Getafe and FC Lugano.
Our pick is Getafe or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Getafe vs FC Lugano?
On our numbers Getafe have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Lugano 17%.
How many goals will there be in Getafe vs FC Lugano?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Getafe vs FC Lugano?
Our predicted score is Getafe 2–1 FC Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Getafe vs FC Lugano?
Getafe vs FC Lugano (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
