Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Brann to win @ 1.70 – our chance 67% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrann to win ✓67% · @1.70
Double chanceBrann or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann preview and prediction
The match
Kauno Žalgiris host Brann in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at National Football Academy. Kauno Žalgiris are 36th with 0 points from 3 games (in the bottom three), while Brann sit 6th on 7 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Kauno Žalgiris's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Suduva Marijampole 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Brann's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Valerenga 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Kauno Žalgiris arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.1 for Kauno Žalgiris and 2.5 for Brann. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kauno Žalgiris 14%, draw 19%, Brann 67%.
Safer route: Brann or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Brann to win at 1.70 – 67% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Brann or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kauno Žalgiris 1–2 Brann. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kauno Žalgiris14%fair 6.96 · @4.33
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @3.90
Brann67%fair 1.50 · @1.70
3.63Expected goals
1.12Kauno Žalgiris xG
2.51Brann xG
61%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
1–17%
0–37%
0–17%
From our goals model: Kauno Žalgiris 1.1 – 2.5 Brann expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brann to win✓
67%
1.50
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Brann or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Brann ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brann / FT Brann✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.69
–
Form
Kauno Žalgiris – last 6
WLWWLW
19 Oct
@ Suduva Marijampole
1–0
W
15 Oct
@ Brighton
0–4
L
11 Oct
@ Minija
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Šiauliai
2–0
W
16 Sep
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Panevėžys
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Brann – last 6
LWLWWL
18 Oct
@ Valerenga
1–3
L
15 Oct
vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
2–1
W
9 Oct
vs Viking
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs BodoGlimt
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Os
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Start
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kauno Žalgiris and Brann.
What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
Our pick is Brann or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
On our numbers Kauno Žalgiris have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Brann 67%.
How many goals will there be in Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
Our predicted score is Kauno Žalgiris 1–2 Brann, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at National Football Academy.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
