Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: SC Braga to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSC Braga to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceSC Braga or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 3.97
SC Braga vs Gent preview and prediction
The match
Gent travel to Estádio Municipal de Braga in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October (20:00 WAT) to face SC Braga. SC Braga are 17th with 4 points from 3 games (in the top half), while Gent sit 18th on 4 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
SC Braga's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to GIL Vicente 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Gent's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Rochefort 3–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gent arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.1 for SC Braga and 0.4 for Gent. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: SC Braga 62%, draw 20%, Gent 19%.
Safer route: SC Braga or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (60%) at 1.85.
Value angle: SC Braga to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SC Braga or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: SC Braga 1–0 Gent. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SC Braga62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.30
Gent19%fair 5.37 · @4.00
1.50Expected goals
1.13SC Braga xG
0.37Gent xG
40%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–025%
0–022%
2–014%
1–19%
0–18%
3–05%
From our goals model: SC Braga 1.1 – 0.4 Gent expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Braga to win✓
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
SC Braga or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Braga / FT SC Braga✓
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
25%
3.97
–
Form
SC Braga – last 6
LLLDWL
19 Oct
vs GIL Vicente
1–2
L
15 Oct
@ FC Copenhagen
0–3
L
9 Oct
vs Sporting CP
1–3
L
20 Sep
@ Santa Clara
0–0
D
14 Sep
vs Estoril
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Estrela
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gent – last 6
DWWWDW
18 Oct
@ Rochefort
3–3
D
15 Oct
vs Aarhus
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Zulte Waregem
2–0
W
18 Sep
vs Standard Liege
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Genk
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Cercle Brugge
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Braga and Gent.
Our pick is SC Braga or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win SC Braga vs Gent?
On our numbers SC Braga have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gent 19%.
How many goals will there be in SC Braga vs Gent?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Braga vs Gent?
Our predicted score is SC Braga 1–0 Gent, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is SC Braga vs Gent?
SC Braga vs Gent (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Braga.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
