Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Aarhus to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAarhus to win ✗63% · @1.55
Double chanceAarhus or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27% · fair 3.72
Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees Aarhus take on Egnatia Rrogozhinë on Thursday 22 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Vejlby Stadion. Aarhus are 24th with 2 points from 3 games (in the bottom half), while Egnatia Rrogozhinë sit 26th on 2 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aarhus's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with FC Copenhagen 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Vllaznia Shkodër 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.2 for Aarhus and 0.3 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Aarhus to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Aarhus 1–0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aarhus63%fair 1.58 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @4.00
Egnatia Rrogozhinë12%fair 8.11 · @5.80
1.50Expected goals
1.20Aarhus xG
0.30Egnatia Rrogozhinë xG
48%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–027%
0–022%
2–016%
1–18%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Aarhus 1.2 – 0.3 Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aarhus to win✗
63%
1.58
1.55
Double chance
Aarhus or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aarhus / FT Aarhus✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
27%
3.72
–
Form
Aarhus – last 6
DLWWDW
18 Oct
@ FC Copenhagen
1–1
D
15 Oct
@ Gent
0–1
L
12 Oct
vs Sonderjyske
3–0
W
2 Oct
vs Vendsyssel FF
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ AC Horsens
2–2
D
16 Sep
@ Skjold Sæby
6–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Egnatia Rrogozhinë – last 6
WDWWLW
18 Oct
vs Vllaznia Shkodër
3–1
W
15 Oct
vs FC Midtjylland
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Laci
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Partizani
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ AF Elbasani
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Skenderbeu Korce
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
What is the prediction for Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our pick is Aarhus to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
On our numbers Aarhus have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 12%.
How many goals will there be in Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our predicted score is Aarhus 1–0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Vejlby Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
