Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Shakhtar Donetsk to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting CP to win ✓49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP preview and prediction
The match
Sporting CP travel to Stamford Bridge in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 3 November (18:45 WAT) to face Shakhtar Donetsk. Shakhtar Donetsk are 21st with 4 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Sporting CP sit 10th on 9 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Shakhtar Donetsk's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Obolon'-Brovar 2–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sporting CP's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Casa Pia 2–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.7 for Sporting CP. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Value angle: Shakhtar Donetsk to win at 3.60 – 31% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Shakhtar Donetsk 1–1 Sporting CP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shakhtar Donetsk31%fair 3.21 · @3.60
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.70
Sporting CP49%fair 2.06 · @2.00
2.94Expected goals
1.27Shakhtar Donetsk xG
1.67Sporting CP xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.3 – 1.7 Sporting CP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win✓
49%
2.06
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.70
–
Form
Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6
WWDLWW
30 Oct
vs Obolon'-Brovar
2–0
W
27 Oct
vs Dynamo Kyiv
3–0
W
24 Oct
vs Zorya Luhansk
0–0
D
21 Oct
@ Inter
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Kolos Kovalivka
2–1
W
14 Oct
vs AEK Athens FC
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sporting CP – last 6
WWLLWW
30 Oct
@ Casa Pia
2–0
W
27 Oct
vs Maritimo
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Academico Viseu
1–2
L
21 Oct
vs Lask Linz
2–3
L
13 Oct
@ Lens
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ SC Braga
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP.
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sporting CP 49%.
How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 1–1 Sporting CP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
