Manchester United vs AS Roma prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultManchester United to win ✓41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.39
Manchester United vs AS Roma preview and prediction
The match
Manchester United host AS Roma in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 3 November, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Old Trafford. Manchester United are 17th with 6 points from 4 games (in the top half), while AS Roma sit 20th on 4 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Manchester United's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Chelsea 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
AS Roma's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Udinese 5–2 away. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game.
AS Roma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.9 for Manchester United and 1.8 for AS Roma. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manchester United 41%, draw 21%, AS Roma 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Manchester United 2–1 AS Roma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manchester United41%fair 2.44 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.00
AS Roma38%fair 2.62 · @2.75
3.64Expected goals
1.86Manchester United xG
1.78AS Roma xG
68%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Manchester United 1.9 – 1.8 AS Roma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester United to win✓
41%
2.44
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.67
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester United / FT Manchester United✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.39
–
Form
Manchester United – last 6
LLLDLD
31 Oct
@ Chelsea
0–2
L
25 Oct
vs Bournemouth
0–3
L
21 Oct
@ Como
1–4
L
18 Oct
@ Leeds
1–1
D
13 Oct
@ Atletico Madrid
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Tottenham
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AS Roma – last 6
WWDWWL
31 Oct
@ Udinese
5–2
W
27 Oct
vs Cagliari
4–2
W
24 Oct
@ Napoli
3–3
D
20 Oct
vs Slovan Bratislava
4–0
W
17 Oct
vs Genoa
2–0
W
14 Oct
vs Real Madrid
3–4
L
3.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester United and AS Roma.
What is the prediction for Manchester United vs AS Roma?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Manchester United vs AS Roma?
On our numbers Manchester United have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AS Roma 38%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester United vs AS Roma?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs AS Roma?
Our predicted score is Manchester United 2–1 AS Roma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Manchester United vs AS Roma?
Manchester United vs AS Roma (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Old Trafford.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
