Lens vs Como prediction & analysis
Como to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lens 1.3 – 2.3 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Como travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 24% for Lens.
Lens have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Como have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. Como come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.3 for Lens, 2.3 for Como). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 1–3 (7%).
Our pick is Como to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Como to win ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.18 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.62 |
| Half-time result | Como ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Como / FT Como ✓ | 39% | 2.59 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.74 | – |
Form
Lens – last 6
| 30 Oct | @ Lille | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Paris FC | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | @ Club Brugge KV | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Estac Troyes | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Sporting CP | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Lyon | 2–1 | W |
Como – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Venezia | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | @ Torino | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Sassuolo | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Manchester United | 4–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Fiorentina | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | @ Feyenoord | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lens and Como.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 4 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |  Arsenal | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Como | 4 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 |  Liverpool | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 |  Club Brugge KV | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sporting CP | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bayern München | 4 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Inter | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Lask Linz | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |  Galatasaray | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 |  AS Roma | 4 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 |  Viking | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |  Atletico Madrid | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 |  PSV Eindhoven | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 25 |  Bodo/Glimt | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 26 |  FC Porto | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |  Villarreal | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 31 |  Sabah FA | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Feyenoord | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 33 |  Lens | 4 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lille | 4 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | -16 | 0 |
More UEFA Champions League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lens vs Como?
Our pick is Como to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Lens vs Como?
On our numbers Lens have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Como 62%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Como?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
When is Lens vs Como?
Lens vs Como (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.