Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Fenerbahçe 1.1 – 2.4 Liverpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Liverpool travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 13% for Fenerbahçe.
Fenerbahçe have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.0 per game. Liverpool have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Liverpool come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.1 for Fenerbahçe, 2.4 for Liverpool). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 0–2 (8%), 1–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.53.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Liverpool to win ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.48 |
| Double chance | Liverpool or draw ✗ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.11 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.44 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.91 |
| Half-time result | Liverpool ahead at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Liverpool / FT Liverpool ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.56 | – |
Form
Fenerbahçe – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Göztepe | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | @ Galatasaray | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Slavia Praha | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Alanyaspor | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | @ Aston Villa | 0–6 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Rizespor | 3–0 | W |
Liverpool – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Arsenal | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Oct | vs Chelsea | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Brighton | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Villarreal | 4–3 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Brentford | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | @ Lask Linz | 6–3 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fenerbahçe and Liverpool.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 4 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |  Arsenal | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Como | 4 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 |  Liverpool | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 |  Club Brugge KV | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sporting CP | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bayern München | 4 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Inter | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Lask Linz | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |  Galatasaray | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 |  AS Roma | 4 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 |  Viking | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |  Atletico Madrid | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 |  PSV Eindhoven | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 25 |  Bodo/Glimt | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 26 |  FC Porto | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |  Villarreal | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 31 |  Sabah FA | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Feyenoord | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 33 |  Lens | 4 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lille | 4 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | -16 | 0 |
More UEFA Champions League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
On our numbers Fenerbahçe have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Liverpool 64%.
How many goals will there be in Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.