Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Porto to win ✗65% · @1.53
Double chanceFC Porto or draw ✗84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.78
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven preview and prediction
The match
FC Porto host PSV Eindhoven in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 20 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estádio do Dragão. FC Porto are 26th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while PSV Eindhoven sit 24th on 4 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Porto's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Real Betis 2–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
PSV Eindhoven's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to ADO Den Haag 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FC Porto arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for FC Porto and 0.7 for PSV Eindhoven. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Porto 65%, draw 19%, PSV Eindhoven 16%.
Safer route: FC Porto or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Porto to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: FC Porto 1–0 PSV Eindhoven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Porto65%fair 1.54 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @4.40
PSV Eindhoven16%fair 6.36 · @5.00
2.50Expected goals
1.80FC Porto xG
0.70PSV Eindhoven xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: FC Porto 1.8 – 0.7 PSV Eindhoven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Porto to win✗
65%
1.54
1.53
Double chance
FC Porto or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
FC Porto ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Porto / FT FC Porto✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.78
–
Form
FC Porto – last 6
LWWWWL
14 Oct
@ Real Betis
2–3
L
10 Oct
@ Maritimo
2–1
W
2 Oct
@ Deportivo La Coruna
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Benfica
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Casa Pia
4–1
W
8 Sep
vs Manchester City
0–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
PSV Eindhoven – last 6
LLWLWD
17 Oct
@ ADO Den Haag
1–2
L
13 Oct
@ RB Leipzig
0–1
L
9 Oct
vs Heerenveen
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Twente
2–3
L
13 Sep
vs Sparta Rotterdam
4–1
W
10 Sep
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Porto and PSV Eindhoven.
What is the prediction for FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our pick is FC Porto to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
On our numbers FC Porto have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and PSV Eindhoven 16%.
How many goals will there be in FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our predicted score is FC Porto 1–0 PSV Eindhoven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Dragão.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
