Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBorussia Dortmund to win ✓58% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal preview and prediction
The match
Borussia Dortmund host Villarreal in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 8 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Signal Iduna Park. Borussia Dortmund are 12th with 9 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Villarreal sit 28th on 3 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Borussia Dortmund's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Villarreal's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Deportivo La Coruna 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Borussia Dortmund arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.2 for Villarreal. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Villarreal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Borussia Dortmund58%fair 1.71 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @4.10
Villarreal23%fair 4.36 · @4.10
3.31Expected goals
2.09Borussia Dortmund xG
1.22Villarreal xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Borussia Dortmund 2.1 – 1.2 Villarreal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win✓
58%
1.71
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Half-time result
Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
Borussia Dortmund – last 6
WWWLDW
5 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
W
1 Sep
@ HEBC
5–0
W
29 Aug
vs Hamburger SV
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Bayern München
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs AS Roma
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Arsenal
3–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Villarreal – last 6
LLDDWW
5 Sep
vs Deportivo La Coruna
2–3
L
28 Aug
@ Alaves
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Atletico Madrid
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Racing Santander
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Galatasaray
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Levante
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal.
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
On our numbers Borussia Dortmund have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Villarreal 23%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
Our predicted score is Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Villarreal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Signal Iduna Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
