Real Madrid vs Inter prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Real Madrid 2.1 – 1.2 Inter expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Real Madrid are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 23% for Inter.
Real Madrid have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.5 per game. Inter have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (2.1 for Real Madrid, 1.2 for Inter). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.45 is close to our fair price of 1.54.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Real Madrid to win ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.60 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.45 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.70 |
| Half-time result | Real Madrid ahead at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Real Madrid / FT Real Madrid ✓ | 37% | 2.68 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 10% | 10.29 | – |
Form
Real Madrid – last 6
| 4 Sep | @ Real Betis | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Malaga | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | vs Real Sociedad | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Espanyol | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ FC Schalke 04 | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | @ Deportivo La Coruna | 1–0 | W |
Inter – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Napoli | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Cagliari | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Monza | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Real Betis | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Juventus | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Aug | @ AC Milan | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid and Inter.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 4 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |  Arsenal | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Como | 4 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 |  Liverpool | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 |  Club Brugge KV | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sporting CP | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bayern München | 4 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Inter | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Lask Linz | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |  Galatasaray | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 |  AS Roma | 4 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 |  Viking | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |  Atletico Madrid | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 |  PSV Eindhoven | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 25 |  Bodo/Glimt | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 26 |  FC Porto | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |  Villarreal | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 31 |  Sabah FA | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Feyenoord | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 33 |  Lens | 4 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lille | 4 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | -16 | 0 |
More UEFA Champions League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Real Madrid vs Inter?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Real Madrid vs Inter?
On our numbers Real Madrid have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Inter 23%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid vs Inter?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Real Madrid vs Inter?
Real Madrid vs Inter (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.