Value bet: Aston Villa to win @ 2.45 – our chance 47% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAston Villa to win ✓47% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa preview and prediction
The match
Club Brugge KV host Aston Villa in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 8 September, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at Jan Breydel Stadion. Club Brugge KV are 9th with 9 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Aston Villa sit 6th on 9 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Club Brugge KV's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Lommel United 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aston Villa's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Hull City 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Club Brugge KV arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Club Brugge KV and 1.6 for Aston Villa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Brugge KV 32%, draw 21%, Aston Villa 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Aston Villa to win at 2.45 – 47% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Club Brugge KV 1–1 Aston Villa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Brugge KV32%fair 3.11 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.55
Aston Villa47%fair 2.11 · @2.45
2.89Expected goals
1.28Club Brugge KV xG
1.62Aston Villa xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Club Brugge KV 1.3 – 1.6 Aston Villa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aston Villa to win✓
47%
2.11
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aston Villa / FT Aston Villa✓
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.82
–
Form
Club Brugge KV – last 6
WLWWWD
4 Sep
@ Lommel United
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Gent
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Cercle Brugge
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ OH Leuven
3–0
W
7 Aug
vs Kortrijk
3–0
W
31 Jul
vs Union St. Gilloise
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aston Villa – last 6
DLLLLL
5 Sep
@ Hull City
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Arsenal
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Brighton
0–4
L
15 Aug
@ Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–2
L
12 Aug
@ Paris Saint Germain
1–2
L
7 Aug
@ Bayern München
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Brugge KV and Aston Villa.
What is the prediction for Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa?
On our numbers Club Brugge KV have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aston Villa 47%.
How many goals will there be in Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa?
Our predicted score is Club Brugge KV 1–1 Aston Villa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa?
Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Jan Breydel Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
