Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.78 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.78Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultComo to win ✓64% · @1.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Como vs RB Leipzig preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Champions League sees Como take on RB Leipzig on Thursday 10 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. Como are 4th with 9 points from 4 games (in the top four), while RB Leipzig sit 30th on 3 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Como's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Genoa 4–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
RB Leipzig's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Werder Bremen 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Como arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Como and 1.0 for RB Leipzig. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Como 64%, draw 17%, RB Leipzig 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Como to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.78, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Como 2–1 RB Leipzig. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Como64%fair 1.56 · @1.78
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @4.10
RB Leipzig19%fair 5.19 · @3.80
3.10Expected goals
2.09Como xG
1.01RB Leipzig xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Como 2.1 – 1.0 RB Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Como to win✓
64%
1.56
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Half-time result
Como ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Como / FT Como✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Como – last 6
WWDDDW
4 Sep
@ Genoa
4–1
W
30 Aug
@ Napoli
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Udinese
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Liverpool
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Arsenal
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ Famalicao
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
RB Leipzig – last 6
LWWLLW
5 Sep
@ Werder Bremen
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Eintracht Trier
6–0
W
15 Aug
@ Bayern München
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ Leeds
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Verl
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Como and RB Leipzig.
Our pick is Como to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.78.
Who will win Como vs RB Leipzig?
On our numbers Como have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and RB Leipzig 19%.
How many goals will there be in Como vs RB Leipzig?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Como vs RB Leipzig?
Our predicted score is Como 2–1 RB Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Como vs RB Leipzig?
Como vs RB Leipzig (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
