Value bet: Sunderland to win @ 1.69 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSunderland to win ✓66% · @1.69
Double chanceSunderland or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.98
Sunderland vs Hull City preview and prediction
The match
Sunderland host Hull City in the League Cup on Tuesday 8 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stadium of Light.
Form guide
Sunderland's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Brentford 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hull City's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Aston Villa 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sunderland arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Sunderland and 0.8 for Hull City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sunderland 66%, draw 23%, Hull City 11%.
Safer route: Sunderland or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Sunderland to win at 1.69 – 66% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Sunderland 2–0 Hull City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sunderland66%fair 1.52 · @1.69
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.70
Hull City11%fair 8.95 · @4.75
2.83Expected goals
2.06Sunderland xG
0.77Hull City xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sunderland 2.1 – 0.8 Hull City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sunderland to win✓
66%
1.52
1.69 ▲
Double chance
Sunderland or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Half-time result
Sunderland ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sunderland / FT Sunderland✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.98
–
Form
Sunderland – last 6
DWLWWW
5 Sep
@ Brentford
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Fulham
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Ipswich
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Rennes
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Lens
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Wrexham
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hull City – last 6
DWDWDL
5 Sep
vs Aston Villa
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Coventry
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Stoke City
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Manchester United
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Nice
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sunderland and Hull City.
What is the prediction for Sunderland vs Hull City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sunderland vs Hull City?
On our numbers Sunderland have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hull City 11%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Hull City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Hull City?
Our predicted score is Sunderland 2–0 Hull City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sunderland vs Hull City?
Sunderland vs Hull City (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bournemouth4
Lincoln0
Crystal Palace3
Middlesbrough0
Leyton Orient1
Bradford3
Millwall0
Newcastle1