League Cup · England · Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough prediction & analysis
Crystal Palace or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Crystal Palace to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Crystal Palace 2.0 – 0.8 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Crystal Palace are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 14% for Middlesbrough.
Crystal Palace have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.2 per game. Middlesbrough have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. Middlesbrough come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (2.0 for Crystal Palace, 0.8 for Middlesbrough). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Crystal Palace or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Crystal Palace to win at 1.75 is our value angle (66% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Crystal Palace to win ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Crystal Palace or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.22 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.53 |
| Half-time result | Crystal Palace ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Crystal Palace / FT Crystal Palace ✓ | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.03 | – |
Form
Crystal Palace – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Fulham | 3–2 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs Manchester City | 1–4 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Everton | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ SC Freiburg | 0–3 | L |
| 7 Aug | @ Fulham | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | vs Al Ula | 3–1 | W |
Middlesbrough – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ QPR | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Sep | @ Burnley | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs West Brom | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | @ Doncaster | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Blackburn | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Lincoln | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crystal Palace and Middlesbrough.
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Newcastle1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
Our pick is Crystal Palace or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
On our numbers Crystal Palace have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Middlesbrough 14%.
How many goals will there be in Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Selhurst Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.