League Cup · England · Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth vs Lincoln prediction & analysis
Bournemouth to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bournemouth 2.7 – 1.0 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bournemouth are clear favourites at home with a 73% chance of winning, against 10% for Lincoln.
Bournemouth have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. Lincoln have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.6 goals (2.7 for Bournemouth, 1.0 for Lincoln). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 3–0 (8%).
Our pick is Bournemouth to win at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.37. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.75 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bournemouth to win ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.30 |
| Double chance | Bournemouth or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.15 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | Bournemouth ahead at half-time ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bournemouth / FT Bournemouth ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 9% | 10.59 | – |
Form
Bournemouth – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Newcastle | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Everton | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Manchester City | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ FSV Mainz 05 | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Real Betis | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Aug | vs Genoa | 10–1 | W |
Lincoln – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Southampton | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Sep | vs Blackburn | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Bolton | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | @ Blackpool | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Portsmouth | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Middlesbrough | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bournemouth and Lincoln.
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Newcastle1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Lincoln?
Our pick is Bournemouth to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Lincoln?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Lincoln 10%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Lincoln?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Bournemouth vs Lincoln?
Bournemouth vs Lincoln (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.