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Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United prediction & analysis

52%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.57Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNairobi United to win ✗40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.52

Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United preview and prediction

The match

Murang'a SEAL host Nairobi United in the FKF Premier League on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Murang'a SEAL are 8th with 8 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Nairobi United sit 15th on 5 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Murang'a SEAL's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to 3K 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.

Nairobi United's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with APS Bomet 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Murang'a SEAL 2–4 Nairobi United.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Murang'a SEAL and 1.5 for Nairobi United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Murang'a SEAL 1–1 Nairobi United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Murang'a SEAL35%fair 2.83 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Nairobi United40%fair 2.50 · @2.60
2.89Expected goals
1.39Murang'a SEAL xG
1.50Nairobi United xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: Murang'a SEAL 1.4 – 1.5 Nairobi United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNairobi United to win ✗40%2.502.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nairobi United / FT Nairobi United ✗24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.52–

Form

Murang'a SEAL – last 6

LWLDWW
25 Oct@ 3K1–2L
18 Octvs Posta Rangers FC5–1W
13 Oct@ GOR Mahia2–4L
2 Oct@ APS Bomet0–0D
31 Mayvs Mara Sugar2–1W
24 May@ Bidco United2–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nairobi United – last 6

DDDDWD
25 Octvs APS Bomet1–1D
18 Oct@ Shabana0–0D
11 Octvs KCB2–2D
2 Octvs Bandari1–1D
31 May@ GOR Mahia1–0W
24 Mayvs Police0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Murang'a SEAL v Nairobi United2–4
Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?

On our numbers Murang'a SEAL have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nairobi United 40%.

How many goals will there be in Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?

Our predicted score is Murang'a SEAL 1–1 Nairobi United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?

Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.