Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGOR Mahia to win ✓48% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 6.94
Homeboyz vs GOR Mahia preview and prediction
The match
GOR Mahia travel to face Homeboyz in the FKF Premier League on Wednesday 28 October (12:00 WAT). Homeboyz are 17th with 5 points from 5 games (in the bottom three), while GOR Mahia sit 1st on 13 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Homeboyz's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Ulinzi Stars 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
GOR Mahia's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Murang'a SEAL 4–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
GOR Mahia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Homeboyz 0–1 GOR Mahia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Homeboyz and 1.3 for GOR Mahia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Homeboyz 28%, draw 24%, GOR Mahia 48%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Homeboyz 0–1 GOR Mahia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Homeboyz28%fair 3.53 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.90
GOR Mahia48%fair 2.08 · @2.15
2.20Expected goals
0.90Homeboyz xG
1.30GOR Mahia xG
44%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Homeboyz 0.9 – 1.3 GOR Mahia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Homeboyz vs GOR Mahia?
On our numbers Homeboyz have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and GOR Mahia 48%.
How many goals will there be in Homeboyz vs GOR Mahia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Homeboyz vs GOR Mahia?
Our predicted score is Homeboyz 0–1 GOR Mahia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Homeboyz vs GOR Mahia?
Homeboyz vs GOR Mahia (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
