FKF Premier League · KenyaKCB vs Mombasa Elite prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: KCB 1.3 – 0.6 Mombasa Elite expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
KCB hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 22% for Mombasa Elite.
KCB have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Mombasa Elite have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. KCB come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.9 goals (1.3 for KCB, 0.6 for Mombasa Elite). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 0–0 (15%), 2–0 (12%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.51.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | KCB to win ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.27 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT KCB / FT KCB ✗ | 31% | 3.21 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.28 | – |
Form
KCB – last 6
| 23 Oct | @ Posta Rangers FC | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Mathare United | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Nairobi United | 2–2 | D |
| 2 Oct | @ GOR Mahia | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | vs Bandari | 0–2 | L |
| 31 May | @ Shabana | 2–1 | W |
Mombasa Elite – last 6
| 19 Oct | @ Mara Sugar | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Oct | vs Homeboyz | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Oct | @ Migori Youth | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Oct | vs Kariobangi Sharks | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Police | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Jun | @ Naivas | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KCB and Mombasa Elite.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for KCB vs Mombasa Elite?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win KCB vs Mombasa Elite?
On our numbers KCB have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mombasa Elite 22%.
How many goals will there be in KCB vs Mombasa Elite?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
When is KCB vs Mombasa Elite?
KCB vs Mombasa Elite (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.