Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Leopards to win ✗39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.74
Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards preview and prediction
The match
AFC Leopards travel to face Mara Sugar in the FKF Premier League on Wednesday 28 October (14:15 WAT). Mara Sugar are 6th with 9 points from 6 games (in the top half), while AFC Leopards sit 3rd on 10 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mara Sugar's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Mombasa Elite 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
AFC Leopards's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Shabana 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Mara Sugar and 1.0 for AFC Leopards. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mara Sugar 35%, draw 26%, AFC Leopards 39%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Mara Sugar 0–0 AFC Leopards. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mara Sugar35%fair 2.86 · @2.75
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.80
AFC Leopards39%fair 2.56 · @2.55
1.89Expected goals
0.91Mara Sugar xG
0.98AFC Leopards xG
40%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mara Sugar 0.9 – 1.0 AFC Leopards expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Leopards to win✗
39%
2.56
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.74
–
Form
Mara Sugar – last 6
WDLDLW
19 Oct
vs Mombasa Elite
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ 3K
2–2
D
2 Oct
@ Tusker
1–3
L
11 Sep
@ Ulinzi Stars
0–0
D
31 May
@ Murang'a SEAL
1–2
L
13 May
vs Shabana
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Leopards – last 6
DWDWLL
25 Oct
vs Shabana
0–0
D
20 Oct
@ Kenya Police
2–1
W
14 Oct
vs Bandari
0–0
D
2 Oct
vs Homeboyz
2–0
W
31 May
vs Bidco United
1–2
L
24 May
@ APS Bomet
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mara Sugar and AFC Leopards.
What is the prediction for Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards?
On our numbers Mara Sugar have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AFC Leopards 39%.
How many goals will there be in Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards?
Our predicted score is Mara Sugar 0–0 AFC Leopards, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards?
Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
