Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGelbison to win ✗43% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.58
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gelbison preview and prediction
The match
Sarrabus Ogliastra host Gelbison in the Serie D Girone G on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Sarrabus Ogliastra are 15th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Gelbison sit 16th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sarrabus Ogliastra's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Trastevere 2–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Gelbison's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Ossese 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Gelbison arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Sarrabus Ogliastra and 1.4 for Gelbison. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sarrabus Ogliastra 1–1 Gelbison. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarrabus Ogliastra34%fair 2.92 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.05
Gelbison43%fair 2.31 · @2.44
2.59Expected goals
1.20Sarrabus Ogliastra xG
1.39Gelbison xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.2 – 1.4 Gelbison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gelbison to win✗
43%
2.31
2.44 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gelbison / FT Gelbison✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.58
–
Form
Sarrabus Ogliastra – last 6
LDLLDD
18 Oct
@ Trastevere
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs Afragolese
0–0
D
7 Oct
@ Latte Dolce
0–3
L
4 Oct
@ Latte Dolce
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Unipomezia
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ Albalonga
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gelbison – last 6
WLDLWL
18 Oct
vs Ossese
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Città di Anagni
1–3
L
7 Oct
@ Vigor Lamezia
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Venafro
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Paganese
3–2
W
20 Sep
@ Sarnese
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Gelbison.
What is the prediction for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gelbison?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gelbison?
On our numbers Sarrabus Ogliastra have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gelbison 43%.
How many goals will there be in Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gelbison?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gelbison?
Our predicted score is Sarrabus Ogliastra 1–1 Gelbison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gelbison?
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gelbison (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
