Serie D Girone G · ItalyAnzio vs Afragolese prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Anzio 1.1 – 1.1 Afragolese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Anzio and Afragolese on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Anzio have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Afragolese have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.1 for Anzio, 1.1 for Afragolese). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.27.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Afragolese to win ✗ | 38% | 2.64 | 2.55 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.88 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.34 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.63 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.23 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Afragolese / FT Afragolese ✗ | 20% | 4.97 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.91 | – |
Form
Anzio – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Latte Dolce | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Unipomezia | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Albalonga | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Certosa V. Campagnano | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Budoni | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs Monastir | 3–1 | W |
Afragolese – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Atletico Lodigiani | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Sarrabus Ogliastra | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Ossese | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Città di Anagni | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Venafro | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Paganese | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Anzio and Afragolese.
Serie D Girone G table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sarnese | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 2 |  Trastevere | 10 | -1 | 18 |
| 3 |  Albalonga | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 4 |  Monastir | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 |  Certosa V. Campagnano | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Unipomezia | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 |  Anzio | 10 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Afragolese | 11 | +5 | 15 |
| 9 |  Aranova | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Paganese | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |  Ossese | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Città di Anagni | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Budoni | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 |  Venafro | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sarrabus Ogliastra | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 |  Gelbison | 11 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |  Latte Dolce | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 |  Atletico Lodigiani | 11 | -11 | 6 |
More Serie D Girone G predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Anzio vs Afragolese?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Anzio vs Afragolese?
On our numbers Anzio have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Afragolese 38%.
How many goals will there be in Anzio vs Afragolese?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Anzio vs Afragolese?
Anzio vs Afragolese (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.