Serie D Girone G · ItalyCittà di Anagni vs Paganese prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Value bet: Città di Anagni to win @ 3.34 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Città di Anagni 1.3 – 1.5 Paganese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Paganese shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 35% for Città di Anagni.
Città di Anagni have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Paganese have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.3 for Città di Anagni, 1.5 for Paganese). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.34. For a bigger price, Città di Anagni to win at 3.34 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Paganese to win ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.44 | 1.29 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Paganese / FT Paganese ✗ | 25% | 4.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.22 | – |
Form
Città di Anagni – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Sarnese | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Gelbison | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Trastevere | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Afragolese | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Latte Dolce | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Unipomezia | 0–2 | L |
Paganese – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Venafro | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Budoni | 3–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Real Normanna | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Sarnese | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Gelbison | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Trastevere | 6–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Città di Anagni and Paganese.
Serie D Girone G table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sarnese | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 2 |  Trastevere | 10 | -1 | 18 |
| 3 |  Albalonga | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 4 |  Monastir | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 |  Certosa V. Campagnano | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Unipomezia | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 |  Anzio | 10 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Afragolese | 11 | +5 | 15 |
| 9 |  Aranova | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Paganese | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |  Ossese | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Città di Anagni | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Budoni | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 |  Venafro | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sarrabus Ogliastra | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 |  Gelbison | 11 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |  Latte Dolce | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 |  Atletico Lodigiani | 11 | -11 | 6 |
More Serie D Girone G predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Città di Anagni vs Paganese?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Città di Anagni vs Paganese?
On our numbers Città di Anagni have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paganese 44%.
How many goals will there be in Città di Anagni vs Paganese?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Città di Anagni vs Paganese?
Città di Anagni vs Paganese (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.