Value bet: Unipomezia to win @ 2.85 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlbalonga to win ✗38% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95
Albalonga vs Unipomezia preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone G sees Albalonga take on Unipomezia on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Albalonga are 3rd with 17 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Unipomezia sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Albalonga's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Budoni 4–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Unipomezia's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Aranova 3–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Albalonga and 1.4 for Unipomezia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Unipomezia to win at 2.85 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Albalonga 1–1 Unipomezia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albalonga38%fair 2.64 · @2.36
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.15
Unipomezia38%fair 2.64 · @2.85
2.84Expected goals
1.42Albalonga xG
1.42Unipomezia xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Albalonga 1.4 – 1.4 Unipomezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albalonga to win✗
38%
2.64
2.36
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.77 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.32
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albalonga / FT Albalonga✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.95
–
Form
Albalonga – last 6
WDLLDD
18 Oct
@ Budoni
4–2
W
11 Oct
vs Certosa V. Campagnano
0–0
D
7 Oct
@ Certosa V. Campagnano
1–4
L
4 Oct
vs Anzio
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Monastir
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Unipomezia – last 6
LDLWDW
18 Oct
vs Aranova
3–4
L
11 Oct
@ Anzio
0–0
D
7 Oct
vs Teramo
3–4
L
4 Oct
vs Atletico Lodigiani
3–1
W
27 Sep
@ Sarrabus Ogliastra
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Ossese
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albalonga and Unipomezia.
What is the prediction for Albalonga vs Unipomezia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Albalonga vs Unipomezia?
On our numbers Albalonga have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Unipomezia 38%.
How many goals will there be in Albalonga vs Unipomezia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albalonga vs Unipomezia?
Our predicted score is Albalonga 1–1 Unipomezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Albalonga vs Unipomezia?
Albalonga vs Unipomezia (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
