Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTeramo to win ✓65% · @1.57
Double chanceTeramo or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.23
Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone F sees Teramo take on Vigor Senigallia on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Teramo are 1st with 26 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Vigor Senigallia sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Teramo's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to L'Aquila 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Vigor Senigallia's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Fossombrone 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Teramo and 0.9 for Vigor Senigallia. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 49% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Teramo to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Teramo 2–0 Vigor Senigallia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Teramo65%fair 1.54 · @1.57
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @3.70
Vigor Senigallia16%fair 6.08 · @4.75
2.99Expected goals
2.08Teramo xG
0.91Vigor Senigallia xG
49%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Teramo 2.1 – 0.9 Vigor Senigallia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Teramo to win✓
65%
1.54
1.57
Double chance
Teramo or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Teramo ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Teramo / FT Teramo✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.23
–
Form
Teramo – last 6
LWWDWW
27 Sep
@ L'Aquila
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Real Giulianova
3–2
W
16 Sep
@ Angelana
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Notaresco
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Maceratese
3–0
W
17 May
vs Notaresco
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Vigor Senigallia – last 6
DWWWWD
27 Sep
vs Fossombrone
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Termoli Calcio
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Lanciano FC
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Real Giulianova
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Sporting Trestina
5–2
W
3 May
@ Unipomezia
3–3
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Teramo and Vigor Senigallia.
What is the prediction for Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia?
Our pick is Teramo to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia?
On our numbers Teramo have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Vigor Senigallia 16%.
How many goals will there be in Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia?
Our predicted score is Teramo 2–0 Vigor Senigallia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia?
Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
