Martina Franca vs Francavilla prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Martina Franca to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMartina Franca to win ✓65% · @1.48
Double chanceMartina Franca or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.63
Martina Franca vs Francavilla preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone H sees Martina Franca take on Francavilla on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT). Martina Franca are 2nd with 22 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Francavilla sit 17th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Martina Franca's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Nardò 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Francavilla's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Brindisi 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Martina Franca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Martina Franca and 0.8 for Francavilla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Martina Franca 65%, draw 19%, Francavilla 16%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Martina Franca to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Martina Franca 1–0 Francavilla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Martina Franca65%fair 1.55 · @1.48
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.80
Francavilla16%fair 6.07 · @5.75
2.66Expected goals
1.88Martina Franca xG
0.79Francavilla xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Martina Franca 1.9 – 0.8 Francavilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Martina Franca to win✓
65%
1.55
1.48
Double chance
Martina Franca or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Martina Franca ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Martina Franca / FT Martina Franca✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.63
–
Form
Martina Franca – last 6
WLWWLL
27 Sep
@ Nardò
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Virtus Francavilla
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Real Normanna
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Real Forio 2014
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Turris
3–4
L
17 May
vs Paganese
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Francavilla – last 6
LLLLWW
27 Sep
vs Brindisi
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Melfi
1–2
L
16 Sep
vs USD Palmese
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Bisceglie
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Ischia
1–0
W
3 May
vs Afragolese
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Martina Franca and Francavilla.
What is the prediction for Martina Franca vs Francavilla?
Our pick is Martina Franca to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Martina Franca vs Francavilla?
On our numbers Martina Franca have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Francavilla 16%.
How many goals will there be in Martina Franca vs Francavilla?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Martina Franca vs Francavilla?
Our predicted score is Martina Franca 1–0 Francavilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Martina Franca vs Francavilla?
Martina Franca vs Francavilla (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
