Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.71 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEbolitana to win ✗41% · @2.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Ischia vs Ebolitana preview and prediction
The match
Ebolitana travel to face Ischia in the Serie D Girone H on Sunday 4 October (14:00 WAT). Ischia are 16th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Ebolitana sit 15th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ischia's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Bisceglie 1–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Ebolitana's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Melfi 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Ebolitana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Ischia and 1.5 for Ebolitana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ischia 37%, draw 21%, Ebolitana 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.71.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.71 – 62% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ischia 1–1 Ebolitana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ischia37%fair 2.67 · @2.53
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.81
Ebolitana41%fair 2.43 · @2.53
2.87Expected goals
1.39Ischia xG
1.48Ebolitana xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Ischia 1.4 – 1.5 Ebolitana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ebolitana to win✗
41%
2.43
2.53
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.71 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.76
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.43
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ebolitana / FT Ebolitana✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.61
–
Form
Ischia – last 6
LLLDLL
27 Sep
@ Bisceglie
1–3
L
20 Sep
vs Nardò
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Nocerina
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Real Normanna
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Francavilla
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ Juve Stabia
1–5
L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ebolitana – last 5
WLWDL
27 Sep
vs Melfi
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Manfredonia
0–3
L
16 Sep
vs Bisceglie
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Nardò
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Nocerina
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ischia and Ebolitana.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ischia vs Ebolitana?
On our numbers Ischia have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ebolitana 41%.
How many goals will there be in Ischia vs Ebolitana?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ischia vs Ebolitana?
Our predicted score is Ischia 1–1 Ebolitana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ischia vs Ebolitana?
Ischia vs Ebolitana (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
