Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla preview and prediction
The match
Virtus Francavilla travel to face Gravina in the Serie D Girone H on Sunday 4 October (14:30 WAT). Gravina are 4th with 20 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Virtus Francavilla sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Gravina's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Real Normanna 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Virtus Francavilla's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Gladiator 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Virtus Francavilla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Virtus Francavilla 0–1 Gravina.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Gravina and 1.5 for Virtus Francavilla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Gravina 1–1 Virtus Francavilla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gravina35%fair 2.83 · @2.79
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.82
Virtus Francavilla45%fair 2.21 · @2.32
2.77Expected goals
1.27Gravina xG
1.49Virtus Francavilla xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Gravina 1.3 – 1.5 Virtus Francavilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla?
On our numbers Gravina have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Virtus Francavilla 45%.
How many goals will there be in Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla?
Our predicted score is Gravina 1–1 Virtus Francavilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla?
Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
