Serie D Girone H · Italy · Stadio Giovanni Paolo IIVirtus Francavilla vs Gladiator prediction & analysis
Virtus Francavilla to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Virtus Francavilla 2.1 – 0.9 Gladiator expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Virtus Francavilla are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 14% for Gladiator.
Virtus Francavilla have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Gladiator have 6 points from their last 4 (2W 0D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded. Virtus Francavilla come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 for Virtus Francavilla, 0.9 for Gladiator). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Virtus Francavilla to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Virtus Francavilla to win ✓ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.67 ▲ |
| Double chance | Virtus Francavilla or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Virtus Francavilla ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Virtus Francavilla / FT Virtus Francavilla ✓ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.15 | – |
Form
Virtus Francavilla – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Martina Franca | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Brindisi | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Melfi | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs USD Palmese | 3–1 | W |
| 3 May | vs Sarnese | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | @ Pompei | 1–4 | L |
Gladiator – last 4
| 20 Sep | vs Fidelis Andria | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Real Forio 2014 | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Gravina | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Manfredonia | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Francavilla and Gladiator.
Serie D Girone H table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Virtus Francavilla | 11 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Martina Franca | 11 | +9 | 22 |
| 3 |  Brindisi | 11 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Gravina | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Turris | 11 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Manfredonia | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Gladiator | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Fidelis Andria | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 9 |  Bisceglie | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  USD Palmese | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Real Normanna | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nocerina | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Real Forio 2014 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Melfi | 11 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Ebolitana | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 16 |  Ischia | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Francavilla | 11 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 |  Nardò | 11 | -9 | 7 |
More Serie D Girone H predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Virtus Francavilla vs Gladiator?
Our pick is Virtus Francavilla to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Virtus Francavilla vs Gladiator?
On our numbers Virtus Francavilla have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gladiator 14%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Francavilla vs Gladiator?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Virtus Francavilla vs Gladiator?
Virtus Francavilla vs Gladiator (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.