Real Normanna vs Gravina prediction & analysis

Very little separates Real Normanna and Gravina on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Real Normanna have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. Gravina have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. Gravina come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.0 goals (1.5 for Real Normanna, 1.5 for Gravina). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Real Normanna have won 0, Gravina have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.29 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Gravina to win at 2.90 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).