Francavilla host Brindisi in the Serie D Girone H on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Francavilla are 17th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Brindisi sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Francavilla's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Melfi 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Brindisi's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to Turris 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Francavilla and 1.2 for Brindisi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Francavilla 1–1 Brindisi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Francavilla40%fair 2.53 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.95
Brindisi35%fair 2.86 · @2.95
2.49Expected goals
1.29Francavilla xG
1.20Brindisi xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Francavilla 1.3 – 1.2 Brindisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Francavilla to win✗
40%
2.53
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.89
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Francavilla / FT Francavilla✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.34
–
Form
Francavilla – last 6
LLLWWD
20 Sep
@ Melfi
1–2
L
16 Sep
vs USD Palmese
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Bisceglie
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Ischia
1–0
W
3 May
vs Afragolese
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Sarnese
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Brindisi – last 4
LLWL
20 Sep
vs Turris
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Virtus Francavilla
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Fidelis Andria
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Real Forio 2014
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Francavilla and Brindisi.
What is the prediction for Francavilla vs Brindisi?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Francavilla vs Brindisi?
On our numbers Francavilla have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Brindisi 35%.
How many goals will there be in Francavilla vs Brindisi?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Francavilla vs Brindisi?
Our predicted score is Francavilla 1–1 Brindisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Francavilla vs Brindisi?
Francavilla vs Brindisi (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.