Mezzolara travel to face Prato in the Serie D Girone E on Sunday 1 November (14:30 WAT). Prato are 1st with 25 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Mezzolara sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Prato's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Ternana 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Mezzolara's last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Terranuova Traiana 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Prato arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Prato and 0.6 for Mezzolara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Prato 68%, draw 18%, Mezzolara 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.01.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Prato 1–0 Mezzolara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Prato68%fair 1.46 · @1.47
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @4.50
Mezzolara14%fair 7.15 · @5.32
2.39Expected goals
1.79Prato xG
0.60Mezzolara xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Prato 1.8 – 0.6 Mezzolara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Prato to win✓
68%
1.46
1.47
Double chance
Prato or draw✓
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.01
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.32
Half-time result
Prato ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Prato / FT Prato✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.11
–
Form
Prato – last 6
LDDWWD
28 Oct
vs Ternana
1–2
L
25 Oct
vs Flaminia
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Gavorrano
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2–0
W
7 Oct
@ Terranuova Traiana
3–0
W
3 Oct
@ Terranuova Traiana
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mezzolara – last 6
DDDDDD
25 Oct
vs Terranuova Traiana
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Flaminia
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Sasso Marconi Zola
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ San Donato Tavarnelle
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Grassina
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Prato and Mezzolara.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Prato vs Mezzolara?
On our numbers Prato have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Mezzolara 14%.
How many goals will there be in Prato vs Mezzolara?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Prato vs Mezzolara?
Our predicted score is Prato 1–0 Mezzolara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Prato vs Mezzolara?
Prato vs Mezzolara (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
