Serie D Girone E · ItalyGavorrano vs Scandicci prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Gavorrano to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gavorrano 1.7 – 0.7 Scandicci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gavorrano are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 15% for Scandicci.
Gavorrano have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (2W 4D 0L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Scandicci have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.7 for Gavorrano, 0.7 for Scandicci). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Gavorrano have won 1, Scandicci have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.24 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Gavorrano to win at 1.80 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gavorrano to win ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Gavorrano or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 2.02 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.80 | 1.68 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.32 | 1.24 |
| Half-time result | Gavorrano ahead at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gavorrano / FT Gavorrano ✓ | 39% | 2.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.53 | – |
Form
Gavorrano – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ Seravezza | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Prato | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Terranuova Traiana | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Flaminia | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Sasso Marconi Zola | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ San Donato Tavarnelle | 2–0 | W |
Scandicci – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs San Donato Tavarnelle | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Terranuova Traiana | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 3–3 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Sasso Marconi Zola | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Ternana | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Grassina | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
| 26 Apr 2026 | Scandicci v Gavorrano | 1–3 |
Serie D Girone E table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Prato | 11 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 |  Robur Siena | 11 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 |  Ternana | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Gavorrano | 11 | +7 | 21 |
| 5 |  Flaminia | 11 | +2 | 19 |
| 6 |  Lucchese | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 |  Terranuova Traiana | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Tau Altopascio | 11 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Montevarchi Calcio | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Seravezza | 11 | +5 | 15 |
| 11 |  Scandicci | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 12 |  San Donato Tavarnelle | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Sasso Marconi Zola | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 |  Mezzolara | 11 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Rondinella | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 16 |  Grassina | 11 | -11 | 7 |
| 17 |  Progresso | 11 | -16 | 6 |
| 18 |  Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 11 | -16 | 3 |
More Serie D Girone E predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gavorrano vs Scandicci?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Gavorrano vs Scandicci?
On our numbers Gavorrano have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Scandicci 15%.
How many goals will there be in Gavorrano vs Scandicci?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Gavorrano vs Scandicci?
Gavorrano vs Scandicci (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.