Serie D Girone E · Italy · Stadio Libero LiberatiTernana vs Seravezza prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Value bet: Ternana to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ternana 1.7 – 0.9 Seravezza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ternana hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 20% for Seravezza.
Ternana have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Seravezza have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. Ternana come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Ternana, 0.9 for Seravezza). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.38. For a bigger price, Ternana to win at 1.91 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ternana to win ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Ternana or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.93 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.27 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.82 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ternana / FT Ternana ✗ | 35% | 2.83 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.51 | – |
Form
Ternana – last 6
| 28 Oct | @ Prato | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Progresso | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Recanatese | 5–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Robur Siena | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Lucchese | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Montevarchi Calcio | 4–1 | W |
Seravezza – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs Gavorrano | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Rondinella | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Flaminia | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Lucchese | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Robur Siena | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Terranuova Traiana | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ternana and Seravezza.
Serie D Girone E table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Prato | 11 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 |  Robur Siena | 11 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 |  Ternana | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Gavorrano | 11 | +7 | 21 |
| 5 |  Flaminia | 11 | +2 | 19 |
| 6 |  Lucchese | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 |  Terranuova Traiana | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Tau Altopascio | 11 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Montevarchi Calcio | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Seravezza | 11 | +5 | 15 |
| 11 |  Scandicci | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 12 |  San Donato Tavarnelle | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Sasso Marconi Zola | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 |  Mezzolara | 11 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Rondinella | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 16 |  Grassina | 11 | -11 | 7 |
| 17 |  Progresso | 11 | -16 | 6 |
| 18 |  Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 11 | -16 | 3 |
More Serie D Girone E predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ternana vs Seravezza?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ternana vs Seravezza?
On our numbers Ternana have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Seravezza 20%.
How many goals will there be in Ternana vs Seravezza?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Ternana vs Seravezza?
Ternana vs Seravezza (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Libero Liberati.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.