Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Lucchese vs Robur Siena preview and prediction
The match
Lucchese host Robur Siena in the Serie D Girone E on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Porta Elisa. Lucchese are 6th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Robur Siena sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Lucchese's last 4: DWLW Most recently they drew with Rondinella 0–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Robur Siena's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Montevarchi Calcio 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Lucchese and 1.3 for Robur Siena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lucchese 44%, draw 22%, Robur Siena 35%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.98, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lucchese 2–1 Robur Siena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lucchese44%fair 2.29 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Robur Siena35%fair 2.90 · @2.80
2.88Expected goals
1.54Lucchese xG
1.34Robur Siena xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lucchese 1.5 – 1.3 Robur Siena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lucchese to win✓
44%
2.29
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lucchese / FT Lucchese✓
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.19
–
Form
Lucchese – last 4
DWLW
20 Sep
@ Rondinella
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Progresso
5–0
W
12 Sep
@ Seravezza
0–5
L
6 Sep
vs Montevarchi Calcio
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Robur Siena – last 6
WLWDDW
20 Sep
vs Montevarchi Calcio
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Tau Altopascio
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Mezzolara
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Scandicci
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Scandicci
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lucchese and Robur Siena.
What is the prediction for Lucchese vs Robur Siena?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Lucchese vs Robur Siena?
On our numbers Lucchese have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Robur Siena 35%.
How many goals will there be in Lucchese vs Robur Siena?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lucchese vs Robur Siena?
Our predicted score is Lucchese 2–1 Robur Siena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Lucchese vs Robur Siena?
Lucchese vs Robur Siena (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Porta Elisa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
